Vol.87 2021.5.7<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000G.W. \u304c\u660e\u3051\u3066\u6700\u521d\u306b\u9031\u672b\u3001NY\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u7bc0\u76ee\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3055\u308c\u308b\uff041,800\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u5148\u3005\u9031\u304b\u3089\u5024\u3092\uff041,790\u53f0\u5f8c\u534a\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u3052\u3066\u306f\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u7e70\u308a\u8fd4\u3057\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u6642\u9593\u306e\u6628\u591c\uff041,800\u3092\u5927\u304d\u304f\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000 \u4e09\u5c0a\uff1f\u3044\u30845\u56de\u307b\u3069\u306e\u4e0a\u4e0b\u52d5\u306e\u5f8c\u3067\u3059\u304b\u3089\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3001\u632f\u308c\u65b9\u306a\u3069\u3001\u30b8\u30c3\u30af\u30ea\u898b\u6975\u3081\u305f\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000 \u5148\u9031\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u306fG.W. \u76f4\u524d\u306b\u3001\u7c73FRB\u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30eb\u8b70\u9577\u306e\u201c\u30d5\u30ed\u30b9\u201d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8868\u73fe\u304c\u7d19\u9762\u306b\u73fe\u308c\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30eb\u8b70\u9577\u304c\u300e\u4eca\u306e\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u201c\u30d5\u30ed\u30b9(froth)\u201d\u3067\u3042\u308a\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u300f\u3068\u3001\u8868\u73fe\u3057\u305f\u201c\u8a00\u8449\u201c\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb(\u6ce1)\u3088\u308a\u7d30\u304b\u3044\u6c17\u6ce1\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3082\u306e\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u307e\u3067\u306f\u3044\u304b\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5146\u5019\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\uff1f\u82e6\u7b11<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u305d\u3053\u3067\u7d42\u3089\u305a\u306b\u30c1\u30e7\u30c3\u3068\u6df1\u5800\u3057\u305f\u3089\u3001\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3053\u306e\u201c\u30d5\u30ed\u30b9\u201d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8868\u73fe\u306f\u30012005\u5e74\u5f53\u6642\u306eFRB\u30b0\u30ea\u30fc\u30f3\u30b9\u30d1\u30f3\u8b70\u9577\u304c\u4f4f\u5b85\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u9ad8\u9a30\u6642\u306b\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u8a00\u8449\u3067\u3057\u305f\uff01\u7b11<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u305d\u306e\u201c\u30d5\u30ed\u30b9\u201d\u306f\u201c\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u201d\u306b\u80b2\u3061\u3001\u30b5\u30d6\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30e0\u30ed\u30fc\u30f3\u554f\u984c\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3057\u3066\u5f3e\u3051\u307e\u3057\u305f \u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb \u7686\u3055\u3093\u3054\u5b58\u77e5\u3067\u3059\u306d!?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000 \u305d\u3057\u3066\u4eca\u65e5\u3001\u7c73FRB\u3088\u308aFRS\uff1dFinancial Stability Report(\u91d1\u878d\u5b89\u5b9a\u6027\u5831\u544a)\u306e\u5831\u544a\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3000 \u30b3\u30ec\u306f\u5e742\u56de\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u95a2\u3084\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5065\u5168\u3055\u306e\u70b9\u691c\u3092\u76ee\u7684\u306b\u5831\u544a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u305d\u306e\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u306f\u3001\u201c\u8cc7\u7523\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u6025\u843d\u3078\u306e\u8b66\u9418\u201c\u3092\u4e3b\u984c\u3068\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u682a\u5f0f\u306a\u3069\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u8cc7\u7523\u306f\u3001\u671f\u5f85\u3055\u308c\u308b\u53ce\u76ca\u3084\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u6bd4\u3079\u3066\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b \u21d2 \u8106\u5f31\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30e2\u30ce\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3000 <\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u30b2\u30fc\u30e0\u30b9\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u306b\u3088\u308b\u682a\u4fa1\u306e\u4e71\u9ad8\u4e0b\u3084\u500b\u4eba\u8cc7\u7523\u30aa\u30d5\u30a3\u30b9\u306b\u3088\u308b\u591a\u5927\u306a\u640d\u5931\u306a\u3069\u3092\u4f8b\u306b\u6319\u3052\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u307e\u305f\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u3067\u306f\u30ce\u30f3\u30d0\u30f3\u30af\u3078\u306e\u9280\u884c\u8cb8\u3057\u51fa\u3057\u304c\u6025\u5897\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5831\u544a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u30a2\u30eb\u30b1\u30b4\u30b9\u30fb\u30ad\u30e3\u30d4\u30bf\u30eb\u3092\u524d\u4f8b\u306b\u3001\u5927\u624b\u9280\u884c\u304c\u30ce\u30f3\u30d0\u30f3\u30af\u3078\u306e\u4fe1\u7528\u4f9b\u4e0e\u306f\u672a\u4f7f\u7528\u3082\u542b\u30811.6\u5146\u30c9\u30eb\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u65e5\u672c\u5186\u306b\u3057\u3066\u304a\u3088\u305d174.4\u5146\u5186!? \u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb \u3053\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u5e74\u9593GDP\u306e1\/3\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u3067\u3059\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u8ca0\u3046\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u52a0\u901f\u3057\u3001\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u3092\u9ad8\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3000 <\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u682a\u4fa1\u306f\u6700\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u66f4\u65b0\u3057\u7d9a\u3051\u3001\u4f4e\u683c\u4ed8\u3051\u306e\u793e\u50b5\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u4f4e\u91d1\u5229\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u9577\u671f\u304b\u3082\u4e00\u56e0\u3001\u3068\u8a8d\u8b58\u3057\u305f\u5831\u544a\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u4eca\u66f4\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6c17\u3082\u3057\u307e\u3059\u304c\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3053\u3053\u6570\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u3067\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u7de9\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u304c\u9577\u5f15\u304d\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u904e\u71b1\u3057\u3059\u304e\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u95a2\u4fc2\u8005\u306b\u9650\u3089\u305a\u611f\u3058\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u6628\u5e74\u304b\u3089\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u798d\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3001\u79c1\u306e\u5468\u308a\u3084\u5e97\u8217\u306b\u3066\u91d1\u306e\u73fe\u7269\u30fb\u30a4\u30f3\u30b4\u30c3\u30c8\u30d0\u30fc\u304c\u6c42\u3081\u3089\u308c\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u4ee5\u524d\u306e\u8cfc\u5165\u8005\u304b\u3089\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u3053\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u3067\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3068\u7159\u305f\u304c\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u7d42\u3063\u3066\u307f\u308c\u3070\u3001\u58f2\u4e0a\u9ad8\u306f\u904e\u53bb\u6700\u9ad8\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u305d\u306e\u6642\u3082\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u9ad8\u3044\u3068\u306f\u3044\u3048\u3001\u4eca\u8cc7\u7523\u3068\u3057\u3066\u91d1\u30fb\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u3092\u8cfc\u5165\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u304c\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u306f\u7b11\u3046!? \u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3068\u611f\u3058\u307e\u3057\u305f!?\uff087,8\u6708\u306e\u72ec\u308a\u8a00\u3092\u53c2\u7167)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u305d\u3057\u3066\u4eca\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u904e\u71b1\u611f\u304c\u91d1\u878d\u5f53\u5c40\u304b\u3089\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u6307\u6458\u3055\u308c\u308b\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u8cc7\u7523\u304b\u3089\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u3078\u8ee2\u63db\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u304c\u30b0\u30c3\u3068\u5897\u3048\u308b\u3001\u305d\u3093\u306a\u5831\u544a\u5185\u5bb9\u3068\u611f\u3058\u305f\u306e\u306f\u81ea\u5206\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u4f1a\u5834\u7b49\u3067\u306e\u304a\u5ba2\u69d8\u3068\u306e\u4f1a\u8a71\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u3059\u3050\u306b\u4f7f\u3046\u304a\u91d1(\u30de\u30cd\u30fc)\u3067\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u91d1\u30fb\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306b\u66ff\u3048\u3066\u304a\u304f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u304a\u52e7\u3081\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3000 \u8caf\u84c4\u304c\u51fa\u6765\u306a\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u306a\u3089\u3001\u25cb\u25cb\u5186\u307e\u3067\u8caf\u3081\u305f\u3089\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u4eca\u8cb7\u3046\u3053\u3068\u304c\u51fa\u6765\u308b\u3060\u3051\u306e\u91d1\u30fb\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306b\u66ff\u3048\u3066\u304a\u304f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u304a\u52e7\u3081\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u4f55\u30b0\u30e9\u30e0\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6301\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3001\u304c\u5927\u4e8b\u3067\u3059\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u7e70\u308a\u8fd4\u3057\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\uff10\u306f\u4f55\u3092\u304b\u3051\u3066\u3082\u3001\u307e\u305f\u3044\u304f\u3089\u306b\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u30820\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1\u3088\u308a\u306f\uff12\u3078\u3001\uff15\u304b\u30896,7\u3078\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u4eca\u3067\u304d\u308b(\u624b\u306b\u3067\u304d\u308b)\u30b0\u30e9\u30e0\u6570\u304b\u3089\u3001\u78ba\u5b9f\u306b\u91d1\u30fb\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u3092\u624b\u306b\u5165\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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Vol.87 2021.5.7 \u3000G.W. \u304c\u660e\u3051\u3066\u6700\u521d\u306b\u9031\u672b\u3001NY\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u7bc0\u76ee\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3055\u308c\u308b\uff041,800\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 \u5148\u3005\u9031\u304b\u3089\u5024\u3092\uff041,790\u53f0\u5f8c\u534a\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u3052\u3066\u306f\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u7e70\u308a\u8fd4\u3057\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u6642\u9593\u306e\u6628\u591c\uff041,800\u3092\u5927\u304d\u304f\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 \u3000 \u4e09\u5c0a\uff1f\u3044\u30845\u56de\u307b\u3069\u306e\u4e0a\u4e0b\u52d5\u306e\u5f8c\u3067\u3059\u304b\u3089\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3001\u632f\u308c\u65b9\u306a\u3069\u3001\u30b8\u30c3\u30af\u30ea\u898b\u6975\u3081\u305f\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002 \u3000 \u5148\u9031\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u306fG.W. \u76f4\u524d\u306b\u3001\u7c73FRB\u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30eb\u8b70\u9577\u306e\u201c\u30d5\u30ed\u30b9\u201d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8868\u73fe\u304c\u7d19\u9762\u306b\u73fe\u308c\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 \u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30eb\u8b70\u9577\u304c\u300e\u4eca\u306e\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u201c\u30d5\u30ed\u30b9(froth)\u201d\u3067\u3042\u308a\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u300f\u3068\u3001\u8868\u73fe\u3057\u305f\u201c\u8a00\u8449\u201c\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u30d0\u30d6\u30eb(\u6ce1)\u3088\u308a\u7d30\u304b\u3044\u6c17\u6ce1\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3082\u306e\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u307e\u3067\u306f\u3044\u304b\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5146\u5019\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\uff1f\u82e6\u7b11 \u3000\u305d\u3053\u3067\u7d42\u3089\u305a\u306b\u30c1\u30e7\u30c3\u3068\u6df1\u5800\u3057\u305f\u3089\u3001\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3053\u306e\u201c\u30d5\u30ed\u30b9\u201d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8868\u73fe\u306f\u30012005\u5e74\u5f53\u6642\u306eFRB\u30b0\u30ea\u30fc\u30f3\u30b9\u30d1\u30f3\u8b70\u9577\u304c\u4f4f\u5b85\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u9ad8\u9a30\u6642\u306b\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u8a00\u8449\u3067\u3057\u305f\uff01\u7b11 \u3000\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u305d\u306e\u201c\u30d5\u30ed\u30b9\u201d\u306f\u201c\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u201d\u306b\u80b2\u3061\u3001\u30b5\u30d6\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30e0\u30ed\u30fc\u30f3\u554f\u984c\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3057\u3066\u5f3e\u3051\u307e\u3057\u305f \u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb \u7686\u3055\u3093\u3054\u5b58\u77e5\u3067\u3059\u306d!? 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